Saturday, January 26, 2013

UFC on Fox 6: Johnson vs. Dodson Predictions


Tonight is UFC on Fox 6: Johnson vs. Dodson. It's not often that the UFC has championship fights for free on television so when they do it's usually worth watching. Tonight's main card on FOX features four fights including a flyweight championship fight, two possible number one contender fights and a fight that features a future hall of famer making his last appearance in the UFC.

UFC on Fox 6 Predictions:

Flyweight Championship: Demetrious Johnson (16-2-1) (Champion) vs. John Dodson (14-5)

Demetrious Johnson became the first ever UFC Flyweight Champion by winning a four-man tournament last year that was originally supposed to take place over two events. However, in his first fight of the tournament his bout went to a draw so there was a rematch between him and Ian McCall which he won the second time around. At UFC 152 he defeated the favored Joseph Benavidez by split decision (48-47, 47-48, 49-46) and was crowned the inaugural flyweight champion.

John Dodson earned his right to be the first challenger for the flyweight championship by defeating Jussier "Formiga" da Silva back at UFC on FX: Browne vs. Bigfoot in a title eliminator bout. Dodson first appeared in the UFC when he won the 14th season of the Ultimate Fighter by defeating T.J. Dillashaw in the final. Since then he has amassed two other wins including the Formiga fight.

Coming into this fight neither fighter has ever been finished and I think this may be the first time one of these guys doesn't get to see the decision. While Johnson is the champion currently I think the challenger Dodson will be able to pull off the upset.

My Prediction: Dodson wins via TKO in round 2 to become the new UFC Flyweight Champion

Light Heavyweight: Quinton "Rampage" Jackson (34-10) vs. Glover Teixeira (19-2)

If you are an MMA fan and haven't heard of "Rampage" then I don't know where you've been the last five years. "Rampage" is best known for having knocked out Chuck Liddell twice (second fight for UFC Light Heavyweight Championship) and for his role in the 2010 action-comedy "The A-Team." While "Rampage" hasn't exactly been on a rampage as of late (he's lost two of his last fights), he is always a fighter that people want to see. This is his last fight on his UFC contract and all signs are pointing to this being his last fight in the Octagon.

Teixeira comes into this fight a lot less known that his opponent, but is coming into this fight on a 17 fight win streak with two of those wins coming in the UFC. In his two fights in the UFC so far he has managed to submit Kyle Kingsbury and defeat Fabio Maldonado by TKO (doctor stoppage). While Teixeira hasn't fought fighters as good as "Rampage" in his career his former training partner is Chuck Liddell who has already fought "Rampage" on two occasions which will likely help him in gameplanning.

With this being Jackson's last fight in the UFC many think that he will be going out on top and being the less known opponent very easily. However, many hardcore fans will agree that while Jackson was once one of the greatest fighters of all time he isn't the same guy he used to be and are picking Teixeira to win in upset fashion.

My Prediction: Teixeira wins via KO (round 1)

Lightweight: Anthony Pettis (15-2) vs. Donald Cerrone (19-4 & 1 NC)

Both of these fighters are former lightweight champions in the now defunct World Extreme Cagefighting (WEC). While both were in the WEC the two have actually never fought each other. Both guys are very exciting fighters and try to finish most of their fights. In Cerrone's 19 wins only four of them have gone to a decision while in Pettis' 15 wins only three have gone the distance.

Pettis is coming into this fight off of two wins over Joe Lauzon and Jeremy Stephens respectively. With a win Pettis has been rumored to be next in line for the UFC Lightweight Championship and would likely fight the winner of the Benson Henderson-Gilbert Melendez winner later this year.

Cerrone is also coming into this fight on a two-fight win streak with wins over Melvin Guillard and Jeremy Stephens. Cerrone may not get a title shot with a win in this fight but it will definitely move him to within one more win away of one.

My Prediction: Pettis wins via TKO (round 2)

Featherweight: Erik Koch (13-1) vs. Ricardo Lamas (12-2)

Koch was in line to face Jose Aldo for the UFC Featherweight Championship on two different occasions in the last year. In July of 2012 Aldo was forced out of the bout because of injury and then later on in October Koch was forced out of the bout due to injury. Koch hasn't fought since late 2011 and this is a really long layoff for a fighter coming into a dangerous fight.

Lamas is entering this fight on a 3-fight win streak. Coming into this fight he has recently beaten Hatsu Hioki, Cub Swanson and Matt Grice. Lamas has been the underdog in most of his fights and is once again coming into a fight as the underdog.

This fight will likely determine who will fight the winner of next week's UFC Featherweight Championship bout between the champion Jose Aldo and challenger Frankie Edgar. With Koch coming so close to having a title shot twice in his career now, I can't see him possibly losing this fight and throwing away another title shot.

My Prediction: Koch wins via submission (round 2)

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